Under Betting
A totals bet is a wager where you will predict that an occurrence will be over or under a certain threshold. You can probably guess why they are called over/unders now. For example, you could bet on the over/under total points score in a basketball game. The bet might be over/under. While all sports employ an over/under betting option, by far the most money wagered on this bet is in football and basketball. Sports like baseball and hockey offer over/under options, but the vast.
- Goal Line Betting & Refunds
[block]7[/block]Goal Line Betting tips
An ever popular betting medium is betting on the number of goals in a game. In certain matches it makes sense to focus on this than the result. For example at certain times of the season, for example in a tight relegation dog fight, the result could go either way, but goals (or lack of) could be a better focus for your betting.
For example, you might bet on there being ‘Over 2.5 goals’ in Manchester United v Chelsea at 1.95, which means you win if there are three goals or more, regardless of who wins the match. It could be 3-0, 1-2 or 2-2 and you would still win.
[block]9[/block]what does under 2.5 goals mean
Alternatively, you could be on there being ‘Under 2.5 goals’ in Manchester United v Chelsea at 1.95, which means you win if there are two goals or less, regardless of who wins. It could be 1-0, 0-0 or 0-2 and your bet would win.
The main goals market you will most likely be using will be Over/Under 2.5 goals. This sometimes confuses people who are new to football betting as there is obviously no such thing as half a goal!
How Does Over/ Under 2.5 Goal Betting Work?
In over/ under betting, bookmakers commonly use a “half” a goal so they can offer odds on a single “line”. In reality with 2.5 goals betting, you are betting on there being over 2 goals or under 3 goals. By referring to 2.5, you have everything on a single line as three is above 2.5 and 2 is below 2.5.
If you back ‘over’, then you need three goals to win, if you back ‘under’, then you want no more than two goals.
Over And Under Betting
[block]10[/block]Over/ Under 1.5 & Over/ Under 3.5 goal betting
2.5 goals isn’t the only option available to you for betting on the goals market. If we look at the odds comparison for the Evertonv Wigan game, we can see a whole range of goal lines:
The majority of bookmakers (43) are pricing up the over/ under 2.5 goals line, but there are also a number at +1.5, +3.5 etc and some offering +2.25.
These other goal lines are relatively easy to understand as follows:
- Over/ Under 0.5 goals means you want either 1 goal or more (over) or no goals at all (under).
- Over/ Under 1.5 goals means you want either 2 goals or more (over) or 1 goal or less (under).
- Over/ Under 3.5 goals means you want either 4 goals or more (over) or 3 goal or less (under).
By far the most popular goal lines for betting are over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals. More people prefer to back ‘over goals’ than ‘under goals’, even though there is no logic to this, it must be psychologically more appealing to want to cheer on goals in a game!
Under Betting Meaning
[block]11[/block]Goal Line Betting & Refunds
As well as offering various ‘half ball’ lines for goal betting such as Over 2.5 goals and Over 3.5 goals, bookmakers also offer what is known as ‘full ball’ or ‘one the line’ markets.
Examples of these include:
- Over 2.0 goals
- Over 4.0 goals
- Under 3.0 goals
The difference here is that you get your money back if the game finishes exactly on the line. The downside is that lower odds are on offer. Here are some examples:
- If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-1, you will receive a refund.
- If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-1, you win.
- If you bet on over 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-0, you lose.
- If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-0, you will receive a refund.
- If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 2-0, you win.
- If you bet on under 3.0 goals and the game finishes 3-1, you lose.
The advantage of this ‘full goal’ betting is that you can get better odds than straight forward over 2.5 goal betting, but avoid the frustration of falling one goal short of your target. Many punters find this psychologically reassuring.
[block]12[/block]Quarter Ball Betting
The most complicated form of goal line betting is the ‘quarter ball’ line. The best way to understand this form of betting is to think of it as two half bets.
[block]13[/block]Typical quarter ball bets are as follows:
- Over 2.75 goals
- Over 2.25 goals
The over 2.75 goals bet is best seen as half an over 2.5 goals bet and half and over 3.0 goals bet. If the score is 2-1, you win with the over 2.5 goals part, but only get a refund with the over 3.0 goals part. The advantage of this sort of bet is that you get slightly better odds than a straight over 2.5 goal bet, with some insurance if you don’t exceed three goals.
The over 2.25 goals bet is best seen as half an over 2.5 goals bet and half an over 2.0 goals bet. If the score is 2-0, you lose with the over 2.5 goals part, but get a refund with the over 2.0 goals part. The advantage of this sort of bet is that you get slightly better odds than betting on over 1.5 goals and slightly better odds than betting on over 2.00 goals, with some insurance if you finish exactly on your target.
To help you make sense of all the options, here’s a summary of all the main Over/ Under goal options
[block]14[/block]Goal Line Betting Stats
To help your goal betting, here goal betting stats from across the top leagues in Europe:
- 53% of Premier League games finish with over 2.5 goals (Odds equivalent of 1.88). This trend has increased in recent years.
- 30% of Premier League games finish with over 3.5 goals (odds equivalent of 3.29)
- Premier League: When a top six team plays at home, the over 2.5 goal percentage increases to 58% (odds equivalent of 1.74), but when they play at away, the over 2.5 goal percentage is just 53% (1.88).
- Premier League: Top six v top six clashes are no more likely than average to finish with over 2.5 goals (53%), but are less likely to finish over 3.5 goals (25% of games).
- Premier League: Bottom six v bottom six clashes are no more likely to finish over 2.5 goals (53%), but are slightly more likely to finish over 3.5 goals (31%).
- France is one of the lowest scoring leagues in Europe, with just 44% of matches finishing over 2.5 goals (odds equivalent of 2.29).
- Germany is the highest scoring league as teams are more likely to push for a result rather than sit back and defend a lead. 56% of games finish over 2.5 goals (odds equivalent of 1.77) and 34% of matches finish over 3.5 goals (odds equivalent of 2.91)
[block]15[/block]Stats go back to the 09/10 season
This article has been prepared with the assistance of SecretBettingClub.com
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Over Under Betting is the second most popular type of NFL betting, just behind spread betting. Over Under Betting is also known as “Game Total Betting” and you will often see it be referred to as either term. Beginner NFL bettors may be confused by Over Under Betting, but it is very easy to learn and understand once explained.
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In Over Under Betting the oddsmakers will set a number of points in which they think both teams will score in total throughout the whole game (including overtime if necessary). Bettors will then be able to bet on the total number of points scored by both teams combined to be over or under that set game total number. For example, the number may be set at 42.5 points. If you bet the “over” you would need a combined 43 or more points from both teams in order to win your bet (a 28-17 score would win you the bet). If you were to place your money on the “under” you would need both teams to combine for 42 or less points throughout the game (a 21-17 game would win you the under bet).
Example of NFL Over Under Bet
Below is an example of what an NFL Over Under line would look like:
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 37.5 (-110)
Under 37.5 (-110)
The number next to the Over and Under is always going to be the same, and represents the set game total. In this case the game total was set by the oddsmakers at 37.5. You would then have the choice to place your bet on both teams scoring more than 37.5 combined points (the Over) or less than 37.5 combined points (the Under). The (-110) beside each choice represents the betting odds, which I will explain more below.
If the final score ended up being Pittsburgh 21 Baltimore 14 we would have a total combined score of 35 points, and therefore the “under” bet would win.
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Other NFL Over Under Betting Information
Although the most common odds set for Over Under lines are -110 or 10% juice on either side it definitely isn’t always the case. The set game total number will always be changing in small increments before kickoff, but the odds will always slightly change before the game total does. Using our above example we might see the odds changed to “Over (-105) and Under (-115)” before we see the game total number adjusted to 37.
That brings me to my next point about NFL Over Under Betting – the game total doesn’t always have to be a decimal number. Although more often than not they are a decimal numbers, you will often see the game total being an even integer such as 39, 41, 44, etc. With an even number game total you may see the combined score end up exactly on the number. In that case the bets on both the Over and Under would be refunded. For example, if the game total was set at 41 and we had a final score of 24-17 it would be considered a “push” and all bets on either side of the number are refunded back to the bettors.
Explain Over Under Betting
Some of the better online betting sites, such as 5Dimes, may even allow you to adjust the game total either way with the odds of course reflecting the change (known as alternate lines). For example, the game total was set at 41.5 and you thought the oddsmakers did a bad job and the game was going to be a lot higher scoring. In some sportsbooks you would be able to select an alternate game total of 44.5 for example and bet the over, which would payout a lot more than the over on the 41.5 line.
If you are looking for the best odds for over/under NFL betting you will want to sign up for an account at www.5Dimes.eu (accepting all countries) and you will also receive a free money bonus of up to $520 on your first deposit – just contact their live support team before depositing.
NFL Strategy Articles:
We have a professional sports bettor writing strategy articles here at TheSportsGeek.com. Check them out on the sports betting strategy page of our website, and hopefully you will pick up some tips that will help you make some money betting on NFL totals.